Trend Analysis

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Trend Analysis

帖子ecbb » 2014-04-20 21:00

Sounds like a good TA strategy:

1. The current stock price is above the 150-day (30 week) and 200-day (40-week) moving average price lines.
2. The 150-day moving average is above the 200-day moving average.
3. The 200-day moving average line is trending up for at least 1 month (preferably 4-5 months minimum in most cases).
4. The 50-day (10-week) moving average is above both the 150-day and 200-day moving averages.
5. The current stock price is trading above the 50-day moving average.
6. The current stock price is at least 30% above its 52-week low. (Many of the best selections will be 100%, 300% or greater above their 52-week low before they emerge from a solid consolidation period and mount a large scale advance.)
7. The current stock price is within at least 25% of its 52-week high (the closer to a new high the better).
8. The relative strength ranking (as reported in Investor’s Business Daily) is no less than 70, and preferably in the 80s or 90s, which will generally be the case with the better selections.
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ecbb
 
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注册: 2014-04-16 20:21

despite high valuation

帖子jeepster » 2014-04-20 22:09

the market still have very strong internal strength, kind of scary.
jeepster
 
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Re: Trend Analysis

帖子njrookie » 2014-04-21 9:27

Trend defined by MA effectively is capturing dominant market sentiment. However human beings are known to change their moods suddenly, especially when surprise, ie news, hits them.

The best TA-based strategy is a 60-70% bet at best. It is easy to time and deal with the winners. Timing the exit and handling the losers are much much harder.

just my 2c.
最后由 njrookie 编辑于 2014-04-21 11:58,总共编辑了 1 次
njrookie
 
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注册: 2014-04-21 9:08

新手胡说两句。

帖子melody2010 » 2014-04-21 10:57

这几天看盘,觉得卖压很大。涨的时候volume小,跌的时候volume大。
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